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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Florida Gators Kentucky Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 63.3% 36.7% - โœ—
Bradley-Terry 63.9% 36.1% - โœ—
Margin 77.7% 22.3% -6.9 โœ— (10.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.6% 48.4% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 90.1% 9.9% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 90.1% 9.9% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 64.8% 35.2% - โœ—

Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +4 (61-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida Gators

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kenny Boynton * 35 4-10 1-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 9 0 -
Erik Murphy * 31 6-11 3-6 2-2 11 0 0 0 2 17 15 -
Mike Rosario * 28 2-6 0-0 2-2 1 3 1 0 4 6 1 -
Scottie Wilbekin * 26 2-8 1-4 2-2 1 2 0 0 2 7 0 -
Patric Young * 24 5-11 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 1 1 10 2 -
Casey Prather 24 2-6 0-0 0-0 9 0 0 2 1 4 8 -
Will Yeguete 19 1-2 0-0 2-4 6 2 1 0 0 4 11 -
Michael Frazier 13 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

Kentucky Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Julius Mays * 39 4-10 3-9 2-2 1 2 2 0 1 13 7 -
Archie Goodwin * 35 5-13 0-3 6-12 4 1 4 0 2 16 10 -
Alex Poythress * 32 4-7 0-1 1-2 12 2 0 0 1 9 15 -
Ryan Harrow * 31 5-12 1-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 1 13 6 -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 25 2-5 0-0 2-4 8 1 1 4 3 6 12 -
Kyle Wiltjer 20 0-7 0-3 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
Jarrod Polson 13 2-2 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 1 4 5 -
Jon Hood 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter