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San Diego State Aztecs 65
@
Boise State Broncos 69
2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model San Diego State Aztecs Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 76.7% 23.3% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 37.5% 62.5% - ✓
Margin 52.0% 48.0% -0.5 ✗ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 52.1% 47.9% - ✗
Efficiency 64.3% 35.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 60.0% 40.0% - ✗
Log Adjusted 60.0% 40.0% - ✗

Actual: Boise State Broncos +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

San Diego State Aztecs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Tapley * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 1 17 24 -
X. Thames * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 2 18 23 -
J. Franklin * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 2 1 0 2 15 29 -
D. Stephens * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 5 9 -
J.J. O'Brien * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 4 9 -
J. Rahon 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
W. Shepard 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 2 3 -
S. Spencer 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Polee II 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Marks * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 6 1 2 3 27 42 -
Jeff Elorriaga * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 3 5 -
Anthony Drmic * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 3 23 22 -
Kenny Buckner * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 1 1 0 1 0 12 -
Igor Hadziomerovic * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 1 2 6 -
Ryan Watkins 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 4 8 -
Mikey Thompson 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 4 8 -
Thomas Bropleh 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 6 7 -

* = starter