Model Predictions
| Model | San Diego State Aztecs | Boise State Broncos | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 76.7% | 23.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.5% | 62.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 52.0% | 48.0% | -0.5 | ✗ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.1% | 47.9% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 64.3% | 35.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 60.0% | 40.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Boise State Broncos +4 (69-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
San Diego State Aztecs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Tapley * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 24 | - |
| X. Thames * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 23 | - |
| J. Franklin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 29 | - |
| D. Stephens * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| J.J. O'Brien * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | - |
| J. Rahon | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Shepard | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Spencer | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Polee II | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Marks * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 42 | - |
| J. Elorriaga * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| A. Drmic * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 22 | - |
| K. Buckner * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | - |
| I. Hadziomerovic * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| R. Watkins | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Thompson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| T. Bropleh | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
* = starter