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2013-03-09

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Colorado State Rams Spread Result
Elo 49.1% 50.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 37.2% 62.8% - โœ“
Margin 36.8% 63.2% +3.0 โœ“ (8.0 off)
Pythagorean 16.2% 83.8% - โœ“
Efficiency 6.2% 93.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“

Actual: Colorado State Rams +11 (77-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Burton * 40 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 3 0 6 27 29 -
M. Story * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 2 14 15 -
M. Coleman * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 12 15 -
C. Huff * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 1 2 4 8 -
K. Panzer * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 2 4 -
J. Burris 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 2 7 8 -
C. Fall 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Elliott 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 1 0 4 -
K. Fuetsch 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Colorado State Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Pierce Hornung * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 4 4 1 0 16 38 -
Colton Iverson * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 1 0 3 21 30 -
Greg Smith * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 11 12 -
Wes Eikmeier * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 0 0 1 20 26 -
Dorian Green * 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Daniel Bejarano 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 7 -
Jon Octeus 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 2 6 6 -
Gerson Santo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
Joe De Ciman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter