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Illinois State Redbirds 34
@
Northern Iowa Panthers 35
2013-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Illinois State Redbirds Northern Iowa Panthers Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 30.5% 69.5% - ✓
Margin 22.3% 77.7% +6.9 ✓ (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 41.1% 58.9% - ✓
Efficiency 38.9% 61.1% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 41.7% 58.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 41.8% 58.2% - ✓

Actual: Northern Iowa Panthers +1 (35-34). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois State Redbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tyler Brown * 33 10-17 6-8 2-3 9 1 1 0 5 28 17 -
Bryant Allen * 33 1-9 0-3 1-2 1 2 1 0 0 3 -2 -
Johnny Hill * 32 4-9 0-1 3-3 9 3 2 0 1 11 15 -
Jackie Carmichael * 28 6-9 0-0 3-5 10 1 0 5 2 15 20 -
John Wilkins * 26 4-9 1-4 2-2 4 0 0 1 1 11 6 -
Jon Ekey 26 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 0 1 1 0 5 3 -
Nick Zeisloft 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Anthony Cousin 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Kaza Keane 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Marc Sonnen * 40 5-9 4-8 2-2 2 0 0 1 0 16 10 -
Jake Koch * 35 4-10 1-4 5-5 6 2 2 0 5 14 9 -
Anthony James * 31 6-18 3-7 0-0 4 4 0 0 3 15 2 -
Deon Mitchell * 25 4-8 0-0 2-4 2 5 2 0 2 10 9 -
Seth Tuttle * 23 2-5 0-1 0-0 9 1 1 1 2 4 9 -
Matt Bohannon 24 2-3 2-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 6 7 -
Chip Rank 19 0-3 0-2 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 0 0 -
Austin Pehl 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter