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2013-03-08

Model Predictions

Model Columbia Lions Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 56.9% 43.1% -
Bradley-Terry 22.1% 77.9% -
Margin 17.7% 82.3% +8.5 (3.5 off)
Pythagorean 33.9% 66.1% -
Efficiency 40.3% 59.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 7.5% 92.5% -
Log Adjusted 7.3% 92.7% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +5 (56-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Columbia Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
G. Mullins * 37 5-10 1-4 3-4 3 1 2 0 2 14 8 -
B. Barbour * 36 4-12 2-5 1-2 0 2 1 0 1 11 1 -
A. Rosenberg * 30 5-9 2-4 2-4 4 0 0 0 0 14 9 -
M. Cisco * 23 1-5 0-0 0-0 11 0 1 0 2 2 7 -
S. Frankoski * 17 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -
I. Cohen 24 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 4 4 -
J. Daniels 22 3-4 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 6 7 -
S. Scrivano 9 0-5 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -3 -
D. Kowalski 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
W. Saunders * 37 6-12 1-1 2-3 1 0 1 0 2 15 3 -
S. Chambers * 36 5-6 0-0 6-7 0 3 2 0 2 16 13 -
C. Webster * 36 1-8 0-5 0-2 2 1 0 0 2 2 -5 -
L. Rivard * 31 2-5 2-5 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 6 6 -
K. Smith * 28 3-4 0-0 2-2 8 0 1 6 2 8 17 -
S. Moundou-Missi 26 2-4 0-0 5-6 8 0 1 0 0 9 14 -
J. Travis 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Nesbitt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter