Model Predictions
| Model | Southern Illinois Salukis | Missouri State Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 34.2% | 65.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 52.6% | 47.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 46.0% | 54.0% | +0.9 | ✓ (7.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 61.6% | 38.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 61.8% | 38.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Missouri State Bears +8 (61-53). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Southern Illinois Salukis
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeff Early * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Desmar Jackson * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kendal Brown-Surles * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| T. Daniels * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | - |
| T.J. Lindsay * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Jalen Pendleton | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Anthony Beane | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 10 | - |
| Davante Drinkard | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Diamond Taylor | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Colby Long | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Bonifield | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Calvin Belts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Kirk * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 18 | - |
| Anthony Downing * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| Nathan Scheer * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| Marcus Marshall * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 22 | - |
| Keith Pickens * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 11 | - |
| Gavin Thurman | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Tomie Aromona | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Michael Simpson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Ryan Carmichael | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Bruce Marshall | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Drew Wilson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter