๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Southern Utah Thunderbirds Northern Colorado Bears Spread Result
Elo 17.7% 82.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 33.9% 66.1% - โœ“
Margin 19.0% 81.0% +8.0 โœ“ (0.0 off)
Pythagorean 34.2% 65.8% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 26.4% 73.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 26.3% 73.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 33.2% 66.8% - โœ“

Actual: Northern Colorado Bears +8 (66-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Hess * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 4 0 0 0 3 13 -
D. Heuir * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 3 4 11 -
J. Stevenett * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 1 25 31 -
J. Cheesman * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 1 1 0 8 15 -
J. Jeffery * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 8 10 -
J. Johnson 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 0 1 0 7 -
C. Nsenki 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 6 6 -
C. Hanks 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
T. Koehler 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 4 5 -

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tate Unruh * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 0 0 13 19 -
Derrick Barden * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 1 1 2 2 18 30 -
Tevin Svihovec * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 1 14 23 -
Connor Osborne * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 1 1 11 18 -
Tim Huskisson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 1 2 6 11 -
Greg Tucker 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -
Paul Garnica 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 0 0 2 2 4 -
Emmanuel Addo 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
Bryce Douvier 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 0 2 -

* = starter