Model Predictions
| Model | Texas State Bobcats | Utah State Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.9% | 83.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 14.3% | 85.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 8.4% | 91.6% | +13.1 | ✓ (2.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.2% | 92.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Utah State Aggies +16 (77-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Staff * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Deonte' Jones * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Joel Wright * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Reid Koenen * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Phil Hawkins | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 19 | - |
| Vonn Jones | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 28 | - |
| Wesley Davis | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Corey Stern | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Basil Brown | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Ray Dorsey | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Utah State Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Butterfield * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 38 | - |
| Marcel Davis * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 12 | 12 | - |
| Ben Clifford * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 13 | 26 | - |
| Marvin Jean * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Jordan Stone * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 13 | - |
| TeNale Roland | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 14 | - |
| Jarred Shaw | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Matt Lopez | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Connor Garner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter