Model Predictions
| Model | Wisconsin Badgers | Michigan State Spartans | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 23.2% | 76.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 28.1% | 71.9% | +5.2 | ✓ (9.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.3% | 53.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 35.7% | 64.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan State Spartans +15 (58-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Wisconsin Badgers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Brust * | 36 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 6 | - |
| Traevon Jackson * | 30 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jared Berggren * | 29 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Mike Bruesewitz * | 28 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| Ryan Evans * | 24 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| Sam Dekker | 23 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 2-5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 6 | - |
| George Marshall | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Frank Kaminsky | 11 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Zach Bohannon | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Evan Anderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Zak Showalter | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 30 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 2 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 30 | 4-12 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 29 | 7-13 | 1-7 | 4-5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 26 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 19 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 19 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Travis Trice | 19 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 15 | - |
| Matt Costello | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Russell Byrd | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Trevor Bohnhoff | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emmett Dacey | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Dan Chapman | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Keenan Wetzel | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Bella Sibedwo | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter