Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Northwestern Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.9% | 53.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.3% | 59.7% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 39.7% | 60.3% | +2.3 | ✗ (9.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 65.3% | 34.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.1% | 86.9% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.0% | 87.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -7 (59-66). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Colella * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 17 | - |
| D.J. Newbill * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 16 | - |
| J. Marshall * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 | - |
| S. Borovnjak * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 23 | - |
| R. Travis * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | - |
| B. Taylor | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | - |
| K. Montminy | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| P. Ackerman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Graham | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Wisniewski | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Sobolewski * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 10 | - |
| A. Marcotullio * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 22 | - |
| R. Hearn * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| K. Abrahamson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| A. Olah * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | - |
| T. Demps | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
| M. Turner | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | - |
| J. Montgomery III | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter