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2013-03-07

Model Predictions

Model UC Riverside Highlanders Cal Poly Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 52.1% 47.9% -
Bradley-Terry 54.1% 45.9% -
Margin 40.3% 59.7% +2.2 (3.8 off)
Pythagorean 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Cal Poly Mustangs +6 (68-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Patton * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 5 2 1 3 18 28 -
A. Quick * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 0 0 7 15 -
T. Johns * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 2 1 1 14 20 -
R. Smith * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 2 0 0 5 12 -
C. Harriel * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 3 10 12 -
D. Guinn 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 3 4 -
T. Owens 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 3 6 -
S. Jones 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
L. Devenny 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -

Cal Poly Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Eversley * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 3 19 26 -
D. Royer * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 4 7 -
D. U'u * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 2 1 0 1 6 16 -
B. Bennett * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 10 16 -
J. Awich * 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
C. O'Brien 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 1 8 14 -
R. Morgan 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 16 20 -
J. Johnson 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -
Z. Gordon 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Odister 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -

* = starter