Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Toledo Rockets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 54.1% | 45.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.5% | 60.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 36.6% | 63.4% | +3.0 | ✓ (21.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.3% | 60.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Toledo Rockets +24 (63-39). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Murphy | 0 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| S. Justice | 0 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 2 | - |
| N. Fontaine | 0 | 6-13 | 0-1 | 6-10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 18 | 14 | - |
| B. Carter | 0 | 1-10 | 0-5 | 0-1 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Woody | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 5 | - |
Toledo Rockets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Baumgartner | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 5 | - |
| R. McCormick | 0 | 1-8 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | - |
| J. Richardson | 0 | 4-11 | 2-5 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| B. McDade | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Y. Richardson | 0 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 23 | - |
* = starter