๐Ÿปโฌ‡๏ธ๐Ÿ€

@
2013-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Albany Great Danes Stony Brook Seawolves Spread Result
Elo 19.1% 80.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 31.9% 68.1% - โœ“
Margin 14.3% 85.7% +9.9 โœ“ (4.9 off)
Pythagorean 40.6% 59.4% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 13.6% 86.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 29.7% 70.3% - โœ“

Actual: Stony Brook Seawolves +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Albany Great Danes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jacob Iati * 32 5-8 5-8 2-2 2 3 0 0 2 17 12 -
Gary Johnson * 25 3-6 0-0 3-3 6 1 0 0 0 9 10 -
Sam Rowley * 25 5-8 0-1 0-0 3 3 1 0 4 10 5 -
Mike Black * 25 5-11 2-5 5-6 1 1 1 0 3 17 6 -
John Puk * 16 3-5 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 6 4 -
Peter Hooley 31 1-3 0-2 1-2 2 6 0 0 2 3 6 -
Luke Devlin 19 3-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 6 7 -
Blake Metcalf 16 1-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 1 0 4 2 -2 -
DJ Evans 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 1 1 0 2 -
Jayson Guerrier 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Stony Brook Seawolves

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tommy Brenton * 32 1-3 0-1 4-6 7 7 2 0 3 6 16 -
Marcus Rouse * 31 3-5 2-2 0-0 1 4 3 0 0 8 11 -
Jameel Warney * 26 2-6 0-0 6-10 4 2 0 0 1 10 9 -
Ron Bracey * 15 3-5 1-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 0 9 5 -
Leonard Hayes * 11 2-2 2-2 2-2 0 0 0 0 1 8 5 -
Carson Puriefoy 24 5-8 1-1 6-6 2 1 0 0 1 17 11 -
Anthony Jackson 17 1-4 0-0 2-2 0 1 1 0 2 4 0 -
Eric McAlister 15 2-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 1 4 3 -
Anthony Mayo 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 2 4 -
Dave Coley 8 2-4 0-0 0-1 1 0 0 0 3 4 -2 -
Scott King 7 1-3 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 0 -

* = starter