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2013-03-03

Model Predictions

Model Florida State Seminoles North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 12.9% 87.1% -
Bradley-Terry 40.6% 59.4% -
Margin 15.2% 84.8% +9.5 (11.5 off)
Pythagorean 30.8% 69.2% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 13.5% 86.5% -
Log Adjusted 13.4% 86.6% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Florida State Seminoles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Bookert * 35 4-6 2-3 0-0 8 4 1 0 2 10 15 -
M. Snaer * 34 5-18 1-6 6-6 3 2 2 0 5 17 1 -
O. White * 33 3-7 0-1 0-0 4 0 0 0 3 6 0 -
A. Thomas * 18 0-4 0-1 0-0 0 2 2 1 1 0 0 -
M. Ojo * 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
I. Miller 21 2-6 1-4 0-0 2 2 0 0 0 5 3 -
K. Turpin 18 4-6 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 2 1 9 9 -
B. Bojanovsky 15 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 3 0 2 5 -
M. Brandon 10 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 1 1 0 0 2 -
R. Gilchrist 8 3-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 6 2 -
T. Shannon 3 1-1 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
T. Whisnant 3 0-3 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -4 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bullock Jr. * 36 8-11 4-7 0-1 10 5 0 1 2 20 23 -
M. Paige * 34 2-5 1-1 1-2 3 9 2 0 3 6 12 -
J. McAdoo * 30 10-15 0-0 1-1 4 0 1 1 3 21 9 -
P.J. Hairston * 29 6-11 4-6 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 16 11 -
D. Strickland * 28 2-5 0-0 1-2 1 4 2 0 0 5 7 -
L. McDonald 20 0-3 0-1 3-4 3 0 0 0 2 3 1 -
B. Johnson 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
J. Simmons 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
J. James 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Hubert 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 2 2 -
W. Moody 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
L. Davis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter