Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.9% | 87.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.6% | 59.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.2% | 84.8% | +9.5 | ✓ (11.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.4% | 86.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +21 (79-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bookert * | 35 | 4-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 15 | - |
| M. Snaer * | 34 | 5-18 | 1-6 | 6-6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 17 | 1 | - |
| O. White * | 33 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| A. Thomas * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Ojo * | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Miller | 21 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| K. Turpin | 18 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| B. Bojanovsky | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| M. Brandon | 10 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Gilchrist | 8 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| T. Shannon | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| T. Whisnant | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Bullock Jr. * | 36 | 8-11 | 4-7 | 0-1 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 23 | - |
| M. Paige * | 34 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 12 | - |
| J. McAdoo * | 30 | 10-15 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| P.J. Hairston * | 29 | 6-11 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - |
| D. Strickland * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. McDonald | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Johnson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| J. Simmons | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. James | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| D. Hubert | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| W. Moody | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Davis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter