Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Michigan Wolverines | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 45.9% | 54.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 45.6% | 54.4% | +1.0 | ✓ (0.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.8% | 56.2% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Michigan Wolverines +1 (58-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Harris * | 34 | 7-16 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Adreian Payne * | 33 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 3-3 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Keith Appling * | 30 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Derrick Nix * | 27 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | 2 | - |
| Branden Dawson * | 24 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Denzel Valentine | 23 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Matt Costello | 14 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Travis Trice | 14 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Alex Gauna | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Michigan Wolverines
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Burke * | 38 | 8-17 | 0-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21 | 20 | - |
| T. Hardaway Jr. * | 38 | 3-12 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | - |
| G. Robinson III * | 31 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Morgan * | 24 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10 | - |
| Nik Stauskas * | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Caris LeVert | 30 | 4-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | - |
| Mitch McGary | 21 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| Spike Albrecht | 7 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jon Horford | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Vogrich | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter