Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Grambling Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 73.6% | 26.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 93.2% | 6.8% | -14.4 | ✓ (2.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 78.0% | 22.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Grambling Tigers -12 (62-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denaell McDaniel | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 14 | - |
| Phillip Crawford | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 20 | 29 | - |
| Josh Freelove | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 27 | - |
| Ryan Watts | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Jamel Waters | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jonathan Jefferson | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Luther Page | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
Grambling Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terry Rose | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 23 | - |
| Carl Cobbins | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 15 | - |
| Will Hornsby | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 17 | - |
| P. Roberson | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 19 | - |
| Demetri Wheeler | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 21 | - |
| Brandon Dorsett | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Brauhnye' Turner | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Steven Danridge | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
| Roman Higgins | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter