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2013-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Butler Bulldogs VCU Rams Spread Result
Elo 36.0% 64.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 47.1% 52.9% - โœ“
Margin 16.6% 83.4% +8.9 โœ“ (23.1 off)
Pythagorean 41.3% 58.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 22.0% 78.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 21.7% 78.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 31.2% 68.8% - โœ“

Actual: VCU Rams +32 (84-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Butler Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Roosevelt Jones * 30 6-10 0-0 2-5 6 2 0 0 4 14 8 -
Khyle Marshall * 25 5-9 0-0 3-6 6 0 0 0 2 13 8 -
Rotnei Clarke * 22 2-8 1-5 0-0 2 2 0 0 3 5 -2 -
Andrew Smith * 19 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 2 6 5 -
Alex Barlow * 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 0 3 -
Kellen Dunham 21 3-7 1-3 0-1 1 0 1 1 0 7 3 -
Kameron Woods 19 0-2 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 0 2 0 7 -
Chase Stigall 15 1-2 1-2 2-2 1 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
Erik Fromm 14 0-3 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 3 1 -4 -
Devontae Morgan 8 0-0 0-0 1-4 3 0 0 0 0 1 4 -
Jackson Aldridge 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Andy Smeathers 4 0-3 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -3 -

VCU Rams

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Juvonte Reddic * 28 5-8 0-0 1-2 4 0 2 3 0 11 12 -
Troy Daniels * 27 5-9 4-8 6-6 3 1 1 0 3 20 13 -
Darius Theus * 24 3-4 0-1 2-2 1 9 5 2 2 8 19 -
Treveon Graham * 23 4-9 3-4 0-1 7 0 2 0 2 11 9 -
Rob Brandenberg * 22 3-9 1-3 1-2 4 0 0 1 0 8 4 -
Briante Weber 22 4-6 1-3 2-2 0 2 2 0 0 11 9 -
Melvin Johnson 21 2-8 1-2 2-2 0 2 2 0 0 7 3 -
Jarred Guest 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 0 0 4 -
D.J. Haley 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 0 2 5 -
Teddy Okereafor 5 2-5 0-2 2-3 3 0 0 0 1 6 3 -
Justin Tuoyo 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
David Hinton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter