Model Predictions
| Model | Portland Pilots | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 1.8% | 98.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 3.7% | 96.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.6% | 99.4% | +27.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 6.3% | 93.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs +29 (81-52). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Portland Pilots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Pressley * | 33 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | - |
| D. Rodgers * | 29 | 3-10 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 2 | - |
| T. van der Mars * | 26 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| K. Bailey * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| J. Bailey * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| R. Nicholas | 28 | 3-11 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | - |
| T. Riley | 17 | 3-13 | 2-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | -7 | - |
| R. Barker | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| K. Thieleke | 14 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Ehlers | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Ahern | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elias Harris * | 27 | 8-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 20 | - |
| Kevin Pangos * | 24 | 3-7 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Kelly Olynyk * | 21 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Mike Hart * | 21 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Guy Edi * | 18 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| David Stockton | 20 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| G. Bell Jr. | 19 | 4-8 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 9 | - |
| Sam Dower | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Przemek Karnowski | 12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| Drew Barham | 11 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| Kyle Dranginis | 9 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Brian Bhaskar | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Rem Bakamus | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
* = starter