Model Predictions
| Model | Memphis Tigers | UCF Knights | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 72.5% | 27.5% | -5.3 | ✓ (3.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.0% | 17.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 83.1% | 16.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 61.4% | 38.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UCF Knights -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joe Jackson * | 39 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 6-10 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Adonis Thomas * | 32 | 5-14 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| Shaq Goodwin * | 28 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 9 | - |
| D.J. Stephens * | 24 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Geron Johnson * | 15 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Chris Crawford | 31 | 7-9 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Tarik Black | 23 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| Damien Wilson | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
UCF Knights
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keith Clanton * | 39 | 10-15 | 3-4 | 6-9 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 29 | 20 | - |
| Calvin Newell * | 38 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 6 | - |
| Isaiah Sykes * | 35 | 4-16 | 0-1 | 2-6 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Kasey Wilson * | 30 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Daiquan Walker * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Matt Williams | 26 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Staphon Blair | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Rod Days | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter