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2013-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Memphis Tigers UCF Knights Spread Result
Elo 34.8% 65.2% -
Bradley-Terry 49.9% 50.1% -
Margin 52.1% 47.9% -0.5 (8.5 off)
Pythagorean 82.4% 17.6% -
Efficiency 94.3% 5.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 86.5% 13.5% -
Log Adjusted 86.3% 13.7% -

Actual: UCF Knights -9 (67-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Jackson * 39 6-10 1-3 6-10 1 7 2 0 2 19 17 -
A. Thomas * 32 5-14 1-4 1-1 4 4 0 1 2 12 5 -
S. Goodwin * 28 4-9 0-0 1-2 5 2 1 1 0 9 9 -
D. Stephens * 24 3-6 0-1 2-3 8 0 0 1 1 8 10 -
G. Johnson * 15 0-3 0-1 0-0 2 2 0 0 4 0 -3 -
C. Crawford 31 7-9 4-5 1-2 4 3 3 0 3 19 17 -
T. Black 23 3-7 0-0 1-3 4 1 4 0 1 7 8 -
D. Wilson 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 2 1 -

UCF Knights

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Clanton * 39 10-15 3-4 6-9 6 1 0 2 3 29 20 -
C. Newell * 38 5-12 2-6 1-2 2 5 4 0 6 13 6 -
I. Sykes * 35 4-16 0-1 2-6 9 5 5 0 2 10 11 -
K. Wilson * 30 3-6 1-3 4-6 6 0 2 0 2 11 11 -
D. Walker * 17 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 0 0 -
M. Williams Jr. 26 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
S. Blair 11 1-1 0-0 2-3 1 0 0 1 0 4 5 -
R. Days 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter