Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.6% | 37.4% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 57.4% | 42.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.8% | 30.2% | -4.6 | ✗ (20.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.6% | 64.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 77.4% | 22.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 35.2% | 64.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 34.1% | 65.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +16 (84-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Odum * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 27 | - |
| R.J. Mahurin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 28 | - |
| Khristian Smith * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 14 | - |
| Devonte Brown * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Lucas Eitel * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dawon Cummings | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Justin Gant | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Brandon Burnett | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Jake Kitchell | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| Rhett Smith | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colt Ryan * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 40 | - |
| Adam Wing * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Ned Cox * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Troy Taylor * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Egidijus Mockevicius * | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| D.J. Balentine | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | - |
| Ryan Sawvell | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Nelson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Lewis Jones | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| Jaylon Moore | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Brandon Williams | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Andy Chinn | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter