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2013-03-02

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats Baylor Bears Spread Result
Elo 52.1% 47.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 61.4% 38.6% - โœ“
Margin 30.6% 69.4% +4.5 โœ— (7.5 off)
Pythagorean 46.7% 53.3% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.0% 58.0% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 41.9% 58.1% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 40.4% 59.6% - โœ—

Actual: Baylor Bears -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Rodney McGruder * 39 7-15 1-5 3-5 3 4 3 0 1 18 12 -
Angel Rodriguez * 36 4-10 3-5 2-3 3 8 1 0 3 13 12 -
Shane Southwell * 35 3-8 0-1 2-2 5 3 1 0 1 8 8 -
Jordan Henriquez * 17 3-5 0-0 2-4 9 1 1 3 1 8 16 -
Will Spradling * 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Martavious Irving 34 4-8 3-5 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 11 4 -
Thomas Gipson 16 2-7 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 1 4 1 -
D.J. Johnson 8 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 1 2 4 -
Nino Williams 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -
Omari Lawrence 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 1 0 0 -

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jacob Neubert 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A.J. Walton * 33 2-5 0-0 2-2 3 6 0 0 2 6 8 -
Pierre Jackson * 33 4-12 3-6 7-9 2 7 3 0 5 18 13 -
Isaiah Austin * 32 5-12 0-0 1-1 12 1 0 3 3 11 12 -
Brady Heslip * 31 3-7 3-7 1-2 2 1 2 0 0 10 8 -
Cory Jefferson * 28 5-9 0-0 4-5 8 0 0 2 1 14 14 -
Rico Gathers 16 0-2 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 1 0 2 -
Gary Franklin 12 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Deuce Bello 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Taurean Prince 4 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
L.J. Rose 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter