Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 60.1% | 39.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.1% | 48.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 46.3% | 53.7% | +0.8 | ✗ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.1% | 53.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 52.9% | 47.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 52.8% | 47.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 48.2% | 51.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors -3 (61-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Eversley * | 36 | 11-18 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 25 | 13 | - |
| Brian Bennett * | 29 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Dylan Royer * | 21 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | - |
| Drake U'u * | 18 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 8 | - |
| Joel Awich * | 13 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jamal Johnson | 26 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 10 | - |
| Reese Morgan | 24 | 2-6 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 8 | - |
| Chris O'Brien | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Zach Gordon | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jace Tavita * | 36 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| Vander Joaquim * | 36 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Isaac Fotu * | 35 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 14 | - |
| Hauns Brereton * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-7 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 3 | - |
| Christian Standhardinger * | 28 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Garrett Jefferson | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Brandon Jawato | 10 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Davis Rozitis | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter