Model Predictions
| Model | Kentucky Wildcats | Arkansas Razorbacks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 53.5% | 46.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.9% | 41.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 61.8% | 38.2% | -2.6 | ✗ (15.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.9% | 55.1% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 60.2% | 39.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 38.3% | 61.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Arkansas Razorbacks +13 (73-60). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 37 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 3-8 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 17 | - |
| Archie Goodwin * | 37 | 5-8 | 0-2 | 4-9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 11 | - |
| Julius Mays * | 36 | 1-8 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Ryan Harrow * | 22 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Alex Poythress * | 17 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 7 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer | 21 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Jarrod Polson | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Jon Hood | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coty Clarke * | 28 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 29 | - |
| Marshawn Powell * | 26 | 6-18 | 1-5 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 6 | - |
| B.J. Young * | 25 | 5-13 | 0-2 | 3-5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| Fred Gulley * | 22 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| Mardracus Wade * | 15 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Rashad Madden | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Kikko Haydar | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Hunter Mickelson | 15 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Qualls | 13 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
| Anthlon Bell | 11 | 1-7 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4 | - |
| Rickey Scott | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter