Model Predictions
| Model | Fairfield Stags | Manhattan Jaspers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.4% | 51.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 41.7% | 58.3% | +1.8 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.4% | 45.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 55.8% | 44.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Manhattan Jaspers +3 (34-31). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Fairfield Stags
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Needham * | 30 | 2-9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| M. Gilbert * | 29 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Nickerson * | 28 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| A. Sidibe * | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | - |
| J. Mikulic * | 14 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| M. Barrow | 32 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 0 | -2 | - |
| D. Wade | 21 | 1-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -2 | - |
| K. Matthews | 18 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Jenkins | 8 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -4 | - |
Manhattan Jaspers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rhamel Brown * | 31 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Michael Alvarado * | 29 | 1-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Donovan Kates * | 28 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Roberto Colonette * | 21 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Mohamed Koita * | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Emmy Andujar | 27 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Shane Richards | 24 | 4-8 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | - |
| RaShawn Stores | 24 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| CJ Jones | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter