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2013-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Alabama A&M Bulldogs Grambling Tigers Spread Result
Elo 70.2% 29.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 79.2% 20.8% - โœ“
Margin 92.5% 7.5% -13.8 โœ“ (13.2 off)
Pythagorean 93.3% 6.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.4% 4.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.4% 4.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 77.1% 22.9% - โœ“

Actual: Grambling Tigers -27 (47-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Alabama A&M Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Demarquelle Tabb 27 5-10 0-0 4-4 6 3 1 0 1 14 13 -
Justin Banks 24 4-5 0-0 2-2 9 1 0 0 0 10 15 -
Jeremy Crutcher 23 2-4 1-2 1-2 1 3 0 0 1 6 5 -
Brandon Ellis 23 6-12 1-3 1-1 4 0 0 0 1 14 5 -
Jose Long 20 2-5 2-4 0-0 8 1 0 0 0 6 10 -
Green Hill 19 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 2 0 1 -
Justin Colvin 17 1-4 0-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
Nicholas West 17 3-10 2-6 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 8 1 -
Anthony Lanier 16 2-4 0-0 1-2 4 1 1 1 2 5 6 -
Tyler Davis 8 0-2 0-2 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Justin Wagner 4 2-4 1-3 1-2 2 1 0 0 0 6 5 -
Baryn Houston 2 0-1 0-1 0-2 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Grambling Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Terry Rose 33 2-10 1-4 0-0 9 1 0 0 1 5 4 -
Will Hornsby 30 3-10 1-4 1-2 0 1 0 0 2 8 -3 -
Brandon Dorsett 26 3-10 0-3 1-4 3 1 2 0 0 7 3 -
Demetri Wheeler 24 2-7 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 0 2 6 0 -
Bryant Purvis 21 4-7 1-3 0-2 2 0 0 0 2 9 2 -
P. Roberson 20 3-7 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 1 6 3 -
Carl Cobbins 13 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 1 0 0 0 1 -
Steven Danridge 12 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 2 -
Roman Higgins 11 3-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 6 4 -
Brauhnye' Turner 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter