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2013-02-28

Model Predictions

Model North Dakota Fighting Hawks Portland State Vikings Spread Result
Elo 58.2% 41.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 68.5% 31.5% - โœ“
Margin 48.0% 52.0% +0.4 โœ— (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 52.4% 47.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 60.9% 39.1% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 60.9% 39.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 49.1% 50.9% - โœ—

Actual: Portland State Vikings -8 (66-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Dakota Fighting Hawks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Aaron Anderson * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 0 1 16 23 -
Troy Huff * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 4 0 2 18 24 -
Jamal Webb * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 7 2 1 3 11 25 -
Mitch Wilmer * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 2 1 4 14 -
Shane Benton * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 10 13 -
Lenny Antwi 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 4 9 7 -
Brandon Brekke 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 6 -
Doug Archer 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 4 5 -
Jordan Allard 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -

Portland State Vikings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lateef McMullan * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 1 12 16 -
Aaron Moore * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 15 1 3 1 3 16 33 -
Renado Parker * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 3 10 11 -
Gary Winston * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 3 0 4 7 9 -
Michael Harthun * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 13 18 -
A. Winston, Jr. 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 4 1 0 3 8 15 -
Lamont Prosser 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 0 0 3 0 4 -
Michael Harvey 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter