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2013-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils Spread Result
Elo 74.2% 25.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 80.0% 20.0% - โœ“
Margin 67.9% 32.1% -4.1 โœ“ (3.9 off)
Pythagorean 67.5% 32.5% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 78.2% 21.8% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 78.4% 21.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 59.0% 41.0% - โœ“

Actual: Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils -8 (70-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Arkansas-Pine Bluff Golden Lions

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Tevin Hammond 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 3 0 2 13 18 -
Terrell Kennedy 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 1 4 15 19 -
Mitchell Anderson 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 3 1 9 16 -
DaVon Haynes 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 1 5 15 21 -
Lazabian Jackson 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 3 1 0 2 6 17 -
Daniel Broughton 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 8 16 -
Marcel Mosley 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 1 0 3 8 7 -
Trent Whiting 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Jaylon Floyd 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Warren Boyd 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 4 5 -
Chandler Savage 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Demetrious Smith 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Darryl Marshall 41 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 0 5 12 14 -
Davon Usher 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 4 17 20 -
Ervin Thomas 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 2 1 1 8 21 -
Blake Ralling 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 1 1 2 3 10 -
Cameron Dobbs 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 2 7 11 -
Matt Smith 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 1 8 13 -
Marcus Johnson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 0 12 18 -
Cortlan Henry 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
Cordarius Samples 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Darius Tomlin 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter