Model Predictions
| Model | Alabama State Hornets | Jackson State Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.6% | 73.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.5% | 75.5% | +6.2 | ✓ (1.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.1% | 71.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 27.4% | 72.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Jackson State Tigers +5 (70-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Watts | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 15 | - |
| Josh Freelove | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Denaell McDaniel | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jamel Waters | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Luther Page | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Phillip Crawford | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Jonathan Jefferson | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
Jackson State Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Readus | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | - |
| Christian Williams | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Jeff Stubbs | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 20 | - |
| Kelsey Howard | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Phillip Williams | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Derrell Taylor | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 19 | - |
| Jonathan Lewis | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Sydney Coleman | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| Kenny Demouchet | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
* = starter