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2013-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Detroit Mercy Titans Spread Result
Elo 87.0% 13.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 78.1% 21.9% - โœ“
Margin 92.3% 7.7% -13.6 โœ“ (5.6 off)
Pythagorean 57.3% 42.7% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 95.9% 4.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 76.3% 23.7% - โœ“

Actual: Detroit Mercy Titans -8 (63-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Lukan 0 7-17 6-13 0-0 3 5 1 1 2 20 11 -
L. Bauer 0 3-11 3-10 0-1 4 1 1 0 1 9 3 -
S. Sension 0 5-7 0-2 4-4 5 1 0 1 4 14 10 -
S. Eichler 0 4-6 4-4 0-0 3 6 0 0 3 12 12 -
A. Ritchie 0 2-6 1-5 3-4 3 2 3 1 2 8 9 -

Detroit Mercy Titans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Beauford 0 2-4 0-0 5-8 7 2 1 0 3 9 12 -
R. Reynolds 0 2-7 1-5 0-0 8 3 1 0 1 5 9 -
M. Hatter 0 1-2 0-1 2-2 1 0 0 0 1 4 2 -
S. Shearer 0 4-8 3-5 4-5 3 2 0 0 1 15 11 -
D. Fambro 0 4-12 1-6 0-2 4 5 4 0 2 9 8 -

* = starter