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Montana State Bobcats 62
@
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 61
2013-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Montana State Bobcats Southern Utah Thunderbirds Spread Result
Elo 38.0% 62.0% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.7% 54.3% - ✗
Margin 39.1% 60.9% +2.4 ✗ (3.4 off)
Pythagorean 55.7% 44.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 53.6% 46.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 53.5% 46.5% - ✓
Points Off/Def 44.9% 55.1% - ✗

Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds -1 (61-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Montana State Bobcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Christian Moon * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 0 17 25 -
X. Blount * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 13 15 -
Flavien Davis * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 2 2 10 -
Blake Brumwell * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 4 9 -
Marcus Colbert * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
Paul Egwuonwu 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 0 0 2 4 14 25 -
Antonio Biglow 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 3 1 1 10 22 -
Calen Coleman 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 0 3 -
Michael Dison 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 3 -

Southern Utah Thunderbirds

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Stevenett * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 2 19 25 -
D. Heuir * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 6 1 1 5 7 11 -
A.J. Hess * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 8 14 -
J. Cheesman * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 2 1 11 17 -
J. Jeffery * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 3 1 2 6 12 -
J. Johnson 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 1 3 2 9 -
C. Nsenki 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 6 9 -
C. Hanks 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 5 -

* = starter