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2013-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Gonzaga Bulldogs BYU Cougars Spread Result
Elo 45.7% 54.3% -
Bradley-Terry 72.4% 27.6% -
Margin 73.0% 27.0% -5.5 (0.5 off)
Pythagorean 49.2% 50.8% -
Efficiency 95.9% 4.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 79.8% 20.2% -
Log Adjusted 80.0% 20.0% -

Actual: BYU Cougars -5 (65-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Gonzaga Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Olynyk * 35 7-10 0-1 5-9 3 2 0 2 2 19 14 -
K. Pangos * 35 2-13 1-12 2-2 3 1 1 0 0 7 -1 -
G. Bell Jr. * 33 5-10 4-8 1-2 2 2 0 0 1 15 8 -
M. Hart * 28 0-1 0-1 0-1 8 0 2 0 2 0 7 -
E. Harris * 26 3-6 0-1 5-8 9 4 1 0 2 11 17 -
D. Stockton 16 1-5 0-3 2-3 4 4 1 0 0 4 8 -
S. Dower 11 3-3 0-0 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 8 8 -
D. Barham 8 0-3 0-3 3-3 4 1 0 0 0 3 5 -
K. Dranginis 4 1-1 1-1 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
P. Karnowski 3 0-1 0-0 0-2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
G. Edi 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

BYU Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Haws * 37 8-18 0-0 3-5 6 0 0 0 0 19 7 -
B. Zylstra * 34 3-8 3-5 1-2 5 2 0 0 2 10 7 -
C. Cusick * 30 2-6 2-4 4-6 4 3 0 0 1 10 10 -
B. Davies * 29 4-11 0-0 4-4 11 3 0 0 2 12 13 -
M. Carlino * 23 3-11 1-3 0-0 4 2 1 0 2 7 1 -
N. Austin 18 1-2 0-1 0-1 3 0 1 0 0 2 4 -
B. Kaufusi 10 1-1 0-0 1-4 2 1 1 0 0 3 6 -
A. Winder 7 1-3 0-2 0-0 1 2 0 0 0 2 2 -
R. Delgado 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
C. Calvert 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Ambrosino 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
I. Harward 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Sharp 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter