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2013-02-28

Model Predictions

Model North Carolina Tar Heels Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 17.2% 82.8% -
Bradley-Terry 63.1% 36.9% -
Margin 61.4% 38.6% -2.6 (6.4 off)
Pythagorean 62.0% 38.0% -
Efficiency 47.5% 52.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 80.0% 20.0% -
Log Adjusted 80.2% 19.8% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers -9 (59-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Bullock Jr. * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 6 3 0 0 12 30 -
D. Strickland * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 4 0 1 1 16 23 -
M. Paige * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 2 10 13 -
J. McAdoo * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 2 3 11 18 -
P.J. Hairston * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 1 11 18 -
L. McDonald 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 6 11 -
B. Johnson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Simmons 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Hubert 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
J.P. Tokoto 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. James 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jennings * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 5 2 0 2 12 27 -
J. Roper * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 1 6 11 -
R. Hall * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 1 0 3 4 7 -
D. Booker * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 0 0 0 4 25 32 -
D. Harrison * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
A. Filer 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 5 6 8 -
L. Nnoko 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 4 7 -
B. Sullivan 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter