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2013-02-28

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Northwestern Wildcats Spread Result
Elo 92.0% 8.0% -16.4 โœ“ (6.4 off)
Bradley-Terry 82.3% 17.7% - โœ“
Margin 88.5% 11.5% -11.2 โœ“ (1.2 off)
Pythagorean 67.4% 32.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 93.6% 6.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 93.7% 6.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 73.0% 27.0% - โœ“

Actual: Northwestern Wildcats -10 (53-63). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lenzelle Smith Jr. * 38 7-13 6-11 4-4 6 0 3 0 0 24 20 -
Aaron Craft * 38 1-4 0-0 1-3 1 5 1 0 0 3 6 -
Deshaun Thomas * 37 7-16 0-5 5-6 7 0 1 0 2 19 9 -
Sam Thompson * 23 2-5 1-2 0-2 5 2 1 4 1 5 11 -
Amir Williams * 17 0-1 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 1 3 -
Shannon Scott 25 1-3 0-2 2-6 1 8 4 1 1 4 14 -
Evan Ravenel 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 0 2 2 -
Trey McDonald 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
LaQuinton Ross 5 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 5 3 -
Amedeo Della Valle 3 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Dave Sobolewski * 38 5-13 3-8 0-0 4 2 1 0 1 13 6 -
Reggie Hearn * 35 3-6 2-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 8 1 -
Kale Abrahamson * 29 3-6 1-3 2-2 9 0 0 0 3 9 9 -
Alex Olah * 29 3-8 0-1 3-3 5 4 1 0 4 9 7 -
Alex Marcotullio * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 0 1 -
Tre Demps 36 4-10 2-5 4-4 3 0 0 0 1 14 6 -
Mike Turner 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 0 0 0 5 -
James Montgomery III 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter