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2013-02-28

Model Predictions

Model UC Davis Aggies UC Riverside Highlanders Spread Result
Elo 77.9% 22.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 72.3% 27.7% - โœ“
Margin 70.3% 29.7% -4.7 โœ“ (2.3 off)
Pythagorean 74.1% 25.9% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 84.4% 15.6% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 84.7% 15.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 60.5% 39.5% - โœ“

Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -7 (52-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ryan Sypkens * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 0 3 16 18 -
J.T. Adenrele * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 4 0 4 3 13 28 -
Tyler Les * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 2 10 13 -
Ryan Howley * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 6 12 -
Paolo Mancasola * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 0 0 2 3 11 -
O. Betu 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 2 3 -
Josh Ritchart 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 1 0 9 12 -
Spencer Clayton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UC Riverside Highlanders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chris Patton * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 5 1 1 4 14 27 -
Robert Smith * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 4 1 0 3 6 19 -
Steven Jones * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 2 0 1 2 4 -
Josh Fox * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
Taylor Johns 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 2 2 8 11 -
Davin Guinn 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 9 13 -
Austin Quick 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 0 2 6 -
Tre Owens 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 6 6 -
Lucas Devenny 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 0 3 8 -
Tajai Johnson 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter