Model Predictions
| Model | UC Davis Aggies | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 54.9% | 45.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.5 | ✗ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 92.6% | 7.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.1% | 6.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders -7 (52-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Sypkens * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 18 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 28 | - |
| T. Les * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 13 | - |
| R. Howley * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 12 | - |
| P. Mancasola * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 11 | - |
| O. Betu | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J. Ritchart | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 12 | - |
| S. Clayton | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Patton * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | - |
| R. Smith * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 19 | - |
| S. Jones * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Fox * | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Johns | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 11 | - |
| D. Guinn | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 13 | - |
| A. Quick | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| T. Owens | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| L. Devenny | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
| T. Johnson | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter