Model Predictions
| Model | Rice Owls | SMU Mustangs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.9% | 86.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.2% | 84.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.3 | ✓ (2.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 4.3% | 95.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 22.3% | 77.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: SMU Mustangs +12 (67-55). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Rice Owls
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julian DeBose | 40 | 3-11 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| Austin Ramljak | 38 | 3-8 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 2 | - |
| Tamir Jackson | 36 | 8-26 | 3-13 | 1-4 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 8 | - |
| Max Guercy | 27 | 4-9 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 17 | - |
| Bahrom Firozgary | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Ross Wilson | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Dan Peera | 15 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| Elliot Franshaw | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
SMU Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cannen Cunningham | 40 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 9-14 | 13 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 24 | - |
| Shawn Williams | 40 | 7-11 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 17 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Manuel | 35 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 13 | - |
| Nick Russell | 29 | 5-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 7 | - |
| London Giles | 24 | 1-4 | 1-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| Jalen Jones | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 7 | - |
| Brian Bernardi | 11 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| Kevin Dunleavy | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter