Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Kentucky Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 13.3% | 86.7% | +11.7 | ✓ (18.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 2.3% | 97.7% | +20.5 | ✓ (9.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Kentucky Wildcats +30 (85-55). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Ware * | 32 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Trivante Bloodman * | 30 | 0-6 | 0-2 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Colin Borchert * | 27 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 2 | - |
| Craig Sword * | 18 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Fred Thomas | 31 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 8 | - |
| Jalen Steele | 26 | 3-11 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Tyson Cunningham | 25 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Baxter Price | 11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Kentucky Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 32 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 12 | 14 | - |
| Ryan Harrow * | 30 | 6-9 | 3-6 | 4-5 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| Alex Poythress * | 28 | 7-11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Archie Goodwin * | 23 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 3 | - |
| Julius Mays * | 21 | 4-6 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 11 | - |
| Kyle Wiltjer | 21 | 1-7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jarrod Polson | 21 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Jon Hood | 16 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| Tod Lanter | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Sam Malone | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Brian Long | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter