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2013-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Nevada Wolf Pack Boise State Broncos Spread Result
Elo 19.7% 80.3% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 18.8% 81.2% - โœ“
Margin 9.4% 90.6% +12.4 โœ“ (13.6 off)
Pythagorean 28.4% 71.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 25.4% 74.6% - โœ“

Actual: Boise State Broncos +26 (73-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Nevada Wolf Pack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Burton * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 13 14 -
M. Story * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 6 8 6 -
J. Evans, Jr. * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 1 5 -
K. Panzer * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
C. Huff * 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 3 2 -
J. Burris 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 1 2 6 9 -
M. Coleman 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 4 8 7 -
D. Elliott 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
C. Fall 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
K. Fuetsch 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Boise State Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Derrick Marks * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 8 4 2 6 6 21 -
Anthony Drmic * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 4 26 28 -
Igor Hadziomerovic * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
Jeff Elorriaga * 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 12 -
Ryan Watkins * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 1 0 14 24 -
Thomas Bropleh 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 0 0 7 19 -
Kenny Buckner 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 6 -
Mikey Thompson 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 4 2 -
Darrious Hamilton 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Vukasin Vujovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Jake Ness 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Joe Hanstad 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 -

* = starter