Model Predictions
| Model | Youngstown State Penguins | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | โ |
| Bradley-Terry | 17.5% | 82.5% | - | โ |
| Margin | 9.8% | 90.2% | +12.2 | โ (3.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.6% | 67.4% | - | โ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.7% | 91.3% | - | โ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.6% | 91.4% | - | โ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.5% | 74.5% | - | โ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +9 (73-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Youngstown State Penguins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Cole * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 22 | - |
| Blake Allen * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 30 | - |
| Damian Eargle * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Kamren Belin * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 11 | - |
| Ryan Weber * | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Shawn Amiker | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Bobby Hain | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| Mike Podolsky | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Fletcher Larson | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Broekhoff * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 32 | - |
| W. Bogan * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 15 | - |
| E. Buggs * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 12 | - |
| M. Kenney * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| K. Van Wijk * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 25 | - |
| L. Dority | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| B. Capobianco | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 12 | - |
| B. Boggs | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
* = starter