Model Predictions
| Model | Texas Southern Tigers | Alabama State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 74.0% | 26.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 90.3% | 9.7% | -12.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 77.1% | 22.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.8% | 6.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Alabama State Hornets -20 (50-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Texas Southern Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ray Penn * | 35 | 4-12 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 11 | - |
| Lawrence Johnson-Danner * | 34 | 3-8 | 3-7 | 3-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 8 | - |
| Omar Strong * | 33 | 1-11 | 0-9 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -8 | - |
| Fred Sturdivant * | 31 | 11-15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 13 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 22 | 27 | - |
| Madarious Gibbs | 26 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| Aaron Clayborn | 22 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 7 | - |
| Kyrie Sutton | 14 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Billy Rosenberg | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Dexter Ellington | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Ethan Blackwell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Alabama State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Freelove * | 36 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 5 | - |
| Ryan Watts * | 33 | 4-13 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 4 | - |
| Denaell McDaniel * | 33 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | - |
| Phillip Crawford * | 31 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| Shawntez Patterson * | 24 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jamel Waters | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Jonathan Jefferson | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Luther Page | 9 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Bobby Brown | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter