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2013-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Northwestern Wildcats Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 3.9% 96.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 25.8% 74.2% - โœ“
Margin 9.9% 90.1% +12.1 โœ“ (18.9 off)
Pythagorean 43.0% 57.0% - โœ“
Efficiency 61.2% 38.8% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 35.2% 64.8% - โœ“

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +31 (74-43). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northwestern Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Reggie Hearn * 30 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 1 1 2 3 8 15 -
Tre Demps * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 1 9 14 -
Dave Sobolewski * 24 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 4 9 -
Kale Abrahamson * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 1 5 6 -
Alex Olah * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 2 1 2 5 -
Mike Turner 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 2 1 7 13 -
Alex Marcotullio 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 1 0 2 7 12 -
Nikola Cerina 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 1 1 -
J. Montgomery III 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 3 0 0 1 0 3 -
Omar Jimenez 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ronnie Johnson * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 1 1 4 10 14 -
Terone Johnson * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 3 1 0 1 22 31 -
D.J. Byrd * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 0 0 1 13 21 -
Rapheal Davis * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 3 2 0 2 10 20 -
Sandi Marcius * 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 2 2 4 8 -
Anthony Johnson 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 3 0 0 2 3 9 -
Dru Anthrop 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 0 2 -
Travis Carroll 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 0 2 7 -
A.J. Hammons 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 2 1 6 10 -
Donnie Hale 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Stephen Toyra 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 3 -
Jacob Lawson 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Neal Beshears 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter