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2013-02-24

Model Predictions

Model Boston College Eagles Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 3.1% 96.9% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 8.9% 91.1% - โœ“
Margin 3.1% 96.9% +19.0 โœ“ (2.0 off)
Pythagorean 30.5% 69.5% - โœ“
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 1.0% 99.0% - โœ“

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (89-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Boston College Eagles

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Joe Rahon * 35 1-5 0-2 4-7 6 4 0 0 3 6 8 -
Ryan Anderson * 32 8-13 0-0 7-10 3 1 0 0 2 23 12 -
Olivier Hanlan * 28 5-13 1-3 1-2 3 3 2 0 4 12 3 -
Patrick Heckmann * 23 5-7 2-3 3-3 4 1 4 1 2 15 16 -
Dennis Clifford * 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Lonnie Jackson 27 1-4 1-3 0-0 4 3 0 0 3 3 3 -
Eddie Odio 19 2-5 1-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 1 5 0 -
Andrew Van Nest 10 2-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 1 4 6 -
Danny Rubin 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Drew Jacobs 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Steve Perpiglia 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
John Cain Carney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Plumlee * 33 4-7 0-0 11-15 15 4 2 1 5 19 29 -
Rasheed Sulaimon * 33 10-15 3-5 4-4 3 3 0 0 2 27 16 -
Quinn Cook * 30 3-9 2-4 4-4 3 3 2 0 1 12 10 -
Seth Curry * 25 4-7 2-4 1-1 1 2 1 0 3 11 5 -
Josh Hairston * 19 1-3 0-0 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
Tyler Thornton 21 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
Amile Jefferson 21 5-7 0-0 4-5 1 1 1 1 0 14 11 -
Alex Murphy 12 1-2 0-1 1-2 2 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
M. Plumlee 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Todd Zafirovski 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter