Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 43.2% | 56.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 28.2% | 71.8% | +5.1 | ✗ (8.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 37.8% | 62.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 37.7% | 62.3% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks -3 (82-85). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Ball State Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jauwan Scaife | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 24 | - |
| Chris Bond | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 11 | 25 | - |
| Matt Kamieniecki | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 25 | - |
| Marcus Posley | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 24 | - |
| Majok Majok | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| Jesse Berry | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Bo Calhoun | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | - |
| Tyler Koch | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 8 | - |
| Zach Fields | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 6 | - |
Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lucas Nutt | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | - |
| Marland Smith | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 27 | - |
| Tyler Stone | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 21 | - |
| A.J. Jones | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 16 | - |
| N. Niemczyk | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| Corey Wilford | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Nino Johnson | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 16 | 35 | - |
| Jared White | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Jacob Tolbert | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter