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2013-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Boston University Terriers UMBC Retrievers Spread Result
Elo 72.6% 27.4% -6.9 โœ“ (2.1 off)
Bradley-Terry 75.6% 24.4% - โœ“
Margin 82.8% 17.2% -8.6 โœ“ (0.4 off)
Pythagorean 74.8% 25.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 89.9% 10.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 68.3% 31.7% - โœ“

Actual: UMBC Retrievers -9 (59-68). Ratings: 2012-13 season-end ratings.

Boston University Terriers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Irving 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 1 2 17 21 -
Maurice Watson Jr. 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 6 2 0 2 19 27 -
John Papale 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 0 2 8 -
Malik Thomas 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 2 0 2 7 15 -
Travis Robinson 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 8 9 -
Dom Morris 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 0 8 13 -
Nathan Dieudonne 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 3 6 -
James Kennedy 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 4 -
Justin Alston 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 3 -
Zach Chionuma 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UMBC Retrievers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Chase Plummer 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 3 18 26 -
Quentin Jones 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 4 1 0 1 3 11 -
Ryan Cook 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 3 0 0 1 11 21 -
Brian Neller 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 13 17 -
Malik Garner 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 2 2 7 -
Joey Getz 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 0 0 10 16 -
Adrian Satchell 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
Jamar Wertz 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Aaron Morgan 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -

* = starter