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2013-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Green Bay Phoenix Drake Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 39.2% 60.8% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 40.1% 59.9% - โœ“
Margin 32.5% 67.5% +4.0 โœ“ (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 54.5% 45.5% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 42.6% 57.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 42.5% 57.5% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 42.1% 57.9% - โœ“

Actual: Drake Bulldogs +17 (71-54). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Green Bay Phoenix

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Keifer Sykes 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 5 3 0 6 12 17 -
Jordan Fouse 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 1 1 6 13 -
Sultan Muhammad 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 3 6 -
Alec Brown 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 0 1 0 4 11 -
Greg Mays 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 8 9 -
Cole Stefan 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 2 0 2 7 13 -
Brennan Cougill 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 2 1 12 19 -
Carrington Love 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 2 6 -
Nick Arenz 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Ben Simons 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 1 0 1 16 25 -
Seth VanDeest 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 2 0 0 1 15 26 -
Joey King 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 2 0 1 7 11 -
Chris Hines 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 4 14 13 -
Richard Carter 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 5 3 0 1 4 11 -
Jeremy Jeffers 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 5 6 -
Micah Mason 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 0 0 3 -
Kori Babineaux 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 10 16 -
Gary Ricks 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Mitch McLaughlin 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
Player #62869 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter