Model Predictions
| Model | Northern Colorado Bears | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.9% | 67.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.3% | 76.7% | +6.6 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 43.3% | 56.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.8% | 68.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 31.6% | 68.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.7% | 63.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northern Colorado Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Unruh * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 26 | - |
| Derrick Barden * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 29 | - |
| Tevin Svihovec * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | 10 | - |
| Tim Huskisson * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| Connor Osborne * | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Paul Garnica | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Bryce Douvier | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Emmanuel Addo | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| Greg Tucker | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| Brendan Keane | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Les * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 14 | - |
| J.T. Adenrele * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 18 | 33 | - |
| Paolo Mancasola * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Corey Hawkins * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 43 | - |
| Ryan Howley * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 17 | - |
| Josh Ritchart | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 9 | - |
| O. Betu | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Clint Bozner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter