🐻⬇️🏀

Northern Colorado Bears 78
@
UC Davis Aggies 79
2013-02-23

Model Predictions

Model Northern Colorado Bears UC Davis Aggies Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 40.3% 59.7% - ✓
Margin 35.9% 64.1% +3.2 ✓ (2.2 off)
Pythagorean 42.3% 57.7% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 23.4% 76.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 22.8% 77.2% - ✓

Actual: UC Davis Aggies +1 (79-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Colorado Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Unruh * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 2 0 3 21 26 -
D. Barden * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 3 0 1 17 29 -
T. Svihovec * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 5 0 0 5 9 10 -
T. Huskisson * 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
C. Osborne * 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 2 0 0 -
P. Garnica 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 7 2 0 0 12 23 -
B. Douvier 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 2 0 1 8 10 -
E. Addo 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 9 -
G. Tucker 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 3 0 0 1 0 2 -
B. Keane 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -

UC Davis Aggies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Les * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 8 0 0 3 8 14 -
J.T. Adenrele * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 2 2 3 1 18 33 -
P. Mancasola * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 3 4 6 -
C. Hawkins * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 6 2 0 5 34 43 -
R. Howley * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 1 0 1 8 17 -
J. Ritchart 16 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 1 4 7 9 -
O. Betu 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
C. Bozner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter