Model Predictions
| Model | Cal State Northridge Matadors | Southern Utah Thunderbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.0% | 36.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.9% | 38.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.9% | 30.1% | -4.6 | ✗ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 62.4% | 37.6% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.9% | 19.1% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.3% | 39.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Southern Utah Thunderbirds +1 (73-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal State Northridge Matadors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Greene * | 37 | 2-7 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Stephan Hicks * | 29 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 5 | - |
| Stephen Maxwell * | 27 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 8-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 22 | - |
| Tre Hale-Edmerson * | 15 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Allan Guei | 23 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Trevone Williams | 22 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 0 | - |
| Landon Drew | 17 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Brandon Perry | 16 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 11 | - |
| Donovan Johnson | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Ian Clark | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Southern Utah Thunderbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Stevenett * | 38 | 7-15 | 1-1 | 6-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 | 9 | - |
| Damon Heuir * | 34 | 5-16 | 2-6 | 6-9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18 | 8 | - |
| Jayson Cheesman * | 27 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Jaren Jeffery * | 22 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| A.J. Hess * | 21 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Jordan Johnson | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Chris Nsenki | 23 | 2-6 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| Cal Hanks | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
* = starter